This thread pays tribute to the Board Game Breakdown series written by Alex Cates, who is currently a Ph.D. candidate at Northwestern University. Mr. Cates started writing about The Settlers of Catan in December 2021 and has recently finished his third installment. As his articles contain deep analysis on match data collected from colonist.io, the statistics they provide are very realistic and up-to-date.
From our point of view, the most interesting factor about Alex's Board Game Breakdown is that the topics are almost untapped by preceding writers. If you are looking for academic Catan content with believable theses and arguments, you certainly can check them out. Here is the link to the blogposts https://www.alexcates.com/blog/categories/catan. Cheers!